AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #1

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 3:30 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Preston 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
2 KOFMAN David 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
3 QUENTIN Young 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
3 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30%
5 MANA Arnav 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
6 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
7 GUIRAUDET Alistair 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
8 YAN Eric 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
9 MITCHEM Paolo 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
10 CHEW Aedan 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 6% 1%
11 RUFANOV Maxim 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 19% 3%
12 GUO Woody 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
13 LIN Jason 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
14 COLLINS Kaden 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.