Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
2 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
3 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
5 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
7 MOLITERNI Matthew N. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 3%
8 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 4%
9 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
10 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 22% 3%
11 WALLACE George 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
12 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 63% 15%
13 HURST Palmer 100% 100% 99% 86% 38% 4%
14 ANDERSON Derek M. 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
15 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
16 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6%
17 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
18 SUN Ethan 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
19 ZALEWSKI David 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
20 WHITE Myles 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
21 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
21 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
23 MILLER Luke 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
24 ZOOK Evan D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 5%
25 EVANS Allen L. 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
26 LAM Bill 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
27 GUMPRICH Joe P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
28 MILLSON Daniel 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
29 LEE Benjamin 100% 87% 46% 8% - -
30 KIM Joshua 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
31 PANE Patrick 100% 98% 74% 27% 4% -
32 LUNDEN Espen 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
33 MONTESI Eric 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
34 ANDERSON Dean 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
35 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 97% 79% 41% 9% 1% -
36 MOORE Mary 100% 92% 52% 15% 2% - -
37 SAAL Anna 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
38 SONVICO Jeremy 100% 90% 52% 12% 1% - -
39 SINGH Jawand 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
40 BADLANI Neel 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
41 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
42 EVANS George 100% 30% 4% - - -
43 MCDOWELL Finn 100% 80% 32% 3% - -
44 KARASICK Andrew 100% 88% 46% 13% 2% - -
45 COVITZ Ashley A. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
46 WALKER Joseph 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
47 BARBER Christopher 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% 1% -
48 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2%
49 TANG Justin 100% 82% 37% 7% 1% -
50 KEIM Spencer 100% 94% 55% 13% 1% - -
51 ROUADY Ryan 100% 68% 22% 2% - -
52 SALAM Siam 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.