Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUMPRICH Joe P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
2 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
3 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 87% 45% 8%
3 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
5 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59% 10%
6 AZIZI Zahl 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 18% 2%
7 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
8 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 3%
9 LEE Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 57% 16% 2%
10 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
11 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
12 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
13 MITCHELL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
14 DAVIS Jack 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
15 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 99% 78% 32% 4% -
16 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
17 IVATURI Sivakrishna 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
18 PISTONE Leah 100% 94% 56% 16% 2% - -
19 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
20 LAU-ALLEN Macy 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
21 INGLE Kate 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 11% 1%
22 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 98% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
23 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
24 BAILEY Linwood 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
25 RYAN Sean 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
26 LEE Hans 100% 100% 99% 89% 39% 7% -
27 EDELMAN Catherine 100% 79% 30% 4% - - -
28 WHITE Myles 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
29 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
30 LEE Sophia 100% 88% 46% 8% - - -
31 GIBSON Karino 100% 67% 22% 2% - - -
32 KASPER Lucia 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
33 BAYLESS Varnum 100% 96% 73% 32% 5% -
34 ALLEN Lily 100% 78% 32% 5% - - -
35 NALLA Sai Krishna 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
36 SALAM Siam 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 9% 1%
37 STEFFENSEN Lily 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
38 ETIKYALA NIKHILA 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
39 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 85% 41% 8% 1% - -
40 TOMHAVE Aidan 100% 97% 71% 23% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.