Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 3:30 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Felix 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
2 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
3 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
3 JACKSON Evan 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
5 SU Ji 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
6 STAM August M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
7 FENG Brendan 100% 93% 65% 27% 4% -
8 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 4%
9 ROSE Colin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
10 PARCELL Colby 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
11 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 2%
12 DELALIO Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
13 XIE Eric 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 11%
14 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
15 FEIRA Justin 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
16 GOOD Harrison 100% 91% 30% 4% - -
17 WALKER Terra 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
18 ROCHARDSON Payten 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
19 MAY Matthew 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
20 PHAM Matthew 100% 100% 88% 41% 9% 1%
21 URIBE David 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
22 CAYABAN Jessica 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
23 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
24 LEE Matthew 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
25 STEVENS Chrysanthi Z. 100% 96% 66% 25% 4% -
26 LAUDO Joseph 100% 98% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
27 CATLETT III Robert 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
28 DREHER Matthew 100% 100% 99% 74% 31% 5%
29 MENDEL Derron 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
30 LAWLESS Elizabeth 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
31 WALLACE Leo 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
32 NI Hao 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
33 COURTNEY Elizabeth 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
34 LESTYAN Cat 100% 37% 6% - - -
35 POWERS Gabriel 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
35 PRICE Jesse 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
37 WANG Kelley 100% 26% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.