7th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, November 17, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RONG Gordon - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
2 ENG Kyler - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
3 DU Evan - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
3 MA Ciel 1% 9% 34% 41% 14% 1%
5 VOO Lucas 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
6 DENG haoyu - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
7 RAHMAN Ali - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
8 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
9 PARKE Nathaniel - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
10 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
11 RONG Marcus 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
12 GREENMAN Duke 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
13 WANG Lucas 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
14 CHEN Aiden - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
15 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
16 SHIH Derek 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
17 SAMIMI Sina 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 9% 1%
18 WU Nathan - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
19 TOUSSAINT Wizard - 3% 14% 31% 34% 17% 3%
20 WONG Alexander 3% 18% 37% 32% 10% 1%
21 LI Stephen 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
22 LEE Davidson - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
23 YU Brandon 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
24 DENG Destin - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
25 JIANG Jack 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2%
26 ZHAO Luke 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
27 LIU Aiden 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
28 KOU Mason - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
29 AULAKH Eshaan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
30 JIANG William - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
31 QUAN Leo 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
32 LEE Lucas 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
33 ZHANG Zhihan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
34 MA kevin 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
35 PARK Neo 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
36 TIAN Dylan 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
37 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
37 ZHANG Alex 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
39 HUR Tyson 1% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.