7th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, November 17, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
2 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 DU Evan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
3 MA Ciel 100% 99% 90% 56% 15% 1%
5 VOO Lucas 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
6 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
7 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
8 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
9 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 34% 8%
10 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
11 RONG Marcus 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
12 GREENMAN Duke 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
13 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
14 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
15 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
16 SHIH Derek 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
17 SAMIMI Sina 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
18 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
19 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
20 WONG Alexander 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
21 LI Stephen 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
22 LEE Davidson 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
23 YU Brandon 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
24 DENG Destin 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
25 JIANG Jack 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
26 ZHAO Luke 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
27 LIU Aiden 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
28 KOU Mason 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
29 AULAKH Eshaan 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
30 JIANG William 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
31 QUAN Leo 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
32 LEE Lucas 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
33 ZHANG Zhihan 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
34 MA kevin 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
35 PARK Neo 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
36 TIAN Dylan 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
37 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
37 ZHANG Alex 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
39 HUR Tyson 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.