Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 10:30 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
2 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
3 HU Anna 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
5 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
6 LI Sonia 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1% -
7 KHOST Maeve 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
8 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
9 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
10 VINOKUR Anita 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
11 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 14%
12 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
13 WANG Elysia 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
14 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
15 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
16 KANDADAI Lara 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
17 YOUNG Audrey 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
18 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
19 DEMING Clare L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
20 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
21 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
22 YEN Natalie 100% 100% 94% 60% 21% 3%
23 BORGUETA Madison 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
24 MAK Kaitlin 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
25 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
26 BROWN Aria 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
27 NAYAK Esha 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
28 MANI Francesca B. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
29 GUHA Surabhi 100% 86% 29% 4% - -
30 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
31 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
32 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
33 BARNES Sarah 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
34 NAYAK Anika 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
35 SIERRA Kate 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 6%
36 GETZONI Mary 100% 28% 2% - - -
37 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 50% 13% 2% - -
38 MACKAY Katherine 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.