Utah/Southern Idaho and Friends Epee Cup

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Wasatch Fencing Club - Kaysville, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 CARRIER Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
2 MERRIAM Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 CUMMINGS Atticus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
3 DANIELS Jonah 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
5 MEHALL Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
6 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
7 MACK Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
8 JAN Timothy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
9 VANDERVELDE Pierce 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 46% 7%
10 SPITLER Ansel 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 25% 5% -
11 EVERETT Taiger 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 4%
12 STAY David 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5% -
13 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 21% 2%
14 PULLARA Ashley 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
15 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
16 FERGUSON Jason 100% 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
17 MALLON Jaxson 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
18 CHRISTIAN Lyn 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 4% - -
19 WHITE Phillip 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
20 NAROTZKY Emma 100% 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
20 WROTEN Oliver 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1% -
22 SALZER Scott 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
23 SMITH Zeph 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 3% - -
24 LITTLE Alex 100% 97% 70% 27% 5% - -
25 DANIELS Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 7% -
26 HANNAN Trevor 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
27 SMITH Eli 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
28 WHITESIDES Ella 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 2% -
29 LLOYD Melanie 100% 98% 78% 31% 6% 1% - -
30 RAY Jessica 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% - -
31 RALSTON Katherine 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
32 GO-LINK Davin 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1% -
33 BIRT Dagny 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
34 GRAVIS Martin 100% 82% 41% 12% 2% - - -
35 STAY Magdalena 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
36 GARDNER Desaree 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - - -
37 MADSON Grant 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.