Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WICKBOLDT Eric | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 2 | CHANG Andrew | V V V D V V | V V V V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 3 | COHEN Benjamin A. | D V V V V V | V V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 3 | SOULAIRE Tom | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 5 | RICHARD Silas | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| 6 | SARKAR Anish | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 7 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | V V V V D V | V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 8 | SIRBU Dan | D V V D V V | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 9 | PIVOVAROV Lucas | D V V V V V | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 10 | MCNAMARA Scott | D V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 11 | VERA Kalista R. | V D V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 12 | SARKAR Agniv | V D D V V V | V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 13 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | V V D V D V | V D | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| 14 | SIM Ian | D V V V V D | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 15 | PERALTA Christian | D D V V V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 16 | KENNY Oliver R. | V D V D D V | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 17 | HSU Joshua | V V V D D V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 18 | LAURIMAA Emil | V V D V V D | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | BECK Brian C. | V V D V V D | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 20 | CHANG Abigail | V V D D V | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 21 | LEVENTAL Mark | D V V V D D | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 22 | LOGUE Paul | D D V V D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 23 | MITTMAN Lela Z. | D D V D V V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 24 | MORETTI David | D D V V V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 25 | ASTLE Stephen | V V D D V D | V D | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| 26 | BLANCO Ariia | D D V V D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 27 | GUO Woody | D V D V D D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 28 | LIN Isabel | V D D D V D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 29 | CONTI Braeden | V V D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 30 | ACKERMANN Richard | D V D D D V | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 31 | KOWALSKI Max | V D D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 32 | MCGUIRE Maximilien | D D D D D V | V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 33 | SHAN Ruoheng | D D D V V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 34 | SITTER Keano | D V D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 35 | SMITH Jackson | D D D D V D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 36 | BUJANOVER Maayan | V D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 37 | LIN Andrew | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 38 | JACKSON Susana | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 39 | BUENAVENTURA Camden | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 40 | SMITH Marissa | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 41 | PERALTA Christian | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.