MFA Friday Night Epee (Senior Open)

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, November 24, 2023 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WICKBOLDT Eric - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
2 CHANG Andrew - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
3 COHEN Benjamin A. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
3 SOULAIRE Tom - - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9%
5 RICHARD Silas - - 2% 10% 32% 42% 14%
6 SARKAR Anish - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
7 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
8 SIRBU Dan - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
9 PIVOVAROV Lucas - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
10 MCNAMARA Scott - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
11 VERA Kalista R. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
12 SARKAR Agniv - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
13 DOWNEY Gerard C. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
14 SIM Ian - 2% 12% 36% 37% 12% 1%
15 PERALTA Christian 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
16 KENNY Oliver R. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
17 HSU Joshua - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
18 LAURIMAA Emil - 2% 14% 37% 38% 9% 1%
19 BECK Brian C. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
20 CHANG Abigail 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
21 LEVENTAL Mark - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
22 LOGUE Paul 2% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
23 MITTMAN Lela Z. 2% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
24 MORETTI David 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
25 ASTLE Stephen 19% 48% 26% 6% 1% - -
26 BLANCO Ariia 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
27 GUO Woody - 9% 42% 37% 10% 1% -
28 LIN Isabel - 3% 24% 41% 25% 6% 1%
29 CONTI Braeden 13% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
30 ACKERMANN Richard 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
31 KOWALSKI Max 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
32 MCGUIRE Maximilien 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 6% 1%
33 SHAN Ruoheng 6% 27% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
34 SITTER Keano 1% 11% 33% 39% 15% 2%
35 SMITH Jackson 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
36 BUJANOVER Maayan 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
37 LIN Andrew 6% 45% 36% 11% 1% - -
38 JACKSON Susana 12% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
39 BUENAVENTURA Camden 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
40 SMITH Marissa 48% 41% 9% 1% - - -
41 PERALTA Christian 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.