Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
2 ZHANG Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
3 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
5 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
6 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56%
7 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 10%
8 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
9 SHAO Mason 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
10 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
11 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
12 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
13 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 15% 1%
14 WU MiEr 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
15 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
16 CHA Aiden 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
17 MA Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
18 CAMP William 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
19 SHI Zhicheng 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
20 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
21 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
22 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
23 YOON Jonathan 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
24 LI Bryan 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
25 DAI Jason 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
26 KIM Siwoo 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
27 MA yuwei 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
28 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
29 DU Evan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 4%
30 CHEN Zachary 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
31 ZHAO Brandon 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
32 WANG Mason 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
33 LIU Alrik SiWei 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
34 LAI Jayden 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
35 PARK Ethan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
36 GENG Michael 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
37 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
38 HU Charles 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 25% 4%
39 ZHANG Jayden 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
40 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
41 ZHENG Jasper 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
42 KANG Ihan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
43 WANG Henry 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
44 CHEN Regis 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
45 GOH Cayden 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
46 WHITE Leonardo 100% 90% 51% 12% 1% - -
47 SHAYAKHMETOV Maxim 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
48 NIU Alexandre 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
49 BOYT Evan 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
50 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
51 YAO Irvine 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
52 BRISTOL COLTON JOASH 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
53 KIM Brendan 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
54 WANG William 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
55 ZHANG William 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
56 ZHU David 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% - -
57 THOMSON Piers 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
58 YOU Emmanuel 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
59 MORET Declan 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
60 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
61 TAN Wyatt 100% 73% 27% 4% - - -
61 CHAN Seanan 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
63 ZHANG Jacob 100% 94% 61% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.