Blue Raider Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 1:30 PM

MTSU Health Wellness and Recreation Center - Murfreesboro, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHA Patrick 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
2 DONG Joshua 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 KEMLE Brian 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
3 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 15%
5 ROLON Jose 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
6 BURRUSS Aaron 100% 97% 78% 35% 5%
7 LIU Oscar 100% 99% 93% 64% 19%
8 STUESSY Nolan 100% 97% 73% 30% 4%
9 REYNOLDS Jeremiah 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 5%
10 HAYES Zackery 100% 96% 62% 20% 2%
10 KNIGHT Thomas 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
12 ODBADRAKH Batu 100% 100% 97% 73% 25%
13 DERRINGER Derrick 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 2%
14 WAHL Nathan 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
15 RHOTON Christian 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
16 ARNOLD Samuel 100% 78% 14% - -
17 KINDEL Amara 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
18 MOYNIHAN Jones 100% 96% 73% 28% 4%
19 SEATON Jake 100% 97% 75% 34% 6%
20 MARKOV Dmitry 100% 100% 81% 39% 7%
21 HELFORD Lane 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
22 STEWART Brian 100% 99% 86% 46% 8%
23 BLANDA Joseph 100% 99% 81% 40% 7%
24 HALE Eli 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
25 SPAULDING Maleah 100% 65% 24% 5% - -
26 PAROCAI William 100% 96% 61% 17% 2% -
27 MASSIE Jay 100% 99% 72% 27% 3%
28 CARRUTH Mae 100% 88% 51% 16% 2%
29 SEAGE Jane 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
30 BELL Solomon 100% 70% 24% 3% -
31 BARRETT John 100% 93% 52% 9% 1% -
32 BRANHAM Willow 100% 70% 26% 4% -
33 NICHOLAS massey 100% 77% 34% 7% 1%
34 FORD Mattie 100% 59% 19% 3% - -
35 WADE Carson 100% 95% 69% 28% 6% -
36 STEELE Alexis 100% 34% 5% - -
37 REZKALLA Uanna 100% 34% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.