PhilDiv JO 2024 Junior Qualifier

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, December 9, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Wallingford Elementary School - Wallingford, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAPP Oliver - 1% 10% 33% 42% 13% 1%
2 ANAFI Ari 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1%
3 LENNON Nicholas 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
3 YAO Andrew 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
5 RAMSDELL Owen 13% 37% 34% 13% 3% - -
6 KRALICEK Emmet 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
7 NUSCHKE Conrad - 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
8 HERTZOG Ben 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
9 JURKECH Jacob 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
10 ZHANG Jason - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
11 YAO Michael 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
12 NUSCHKE Luka 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
13 SMITH Connor 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.