PhilDiv JO 2024 Junior Qualifier

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, December 9, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Wallingford Elementary School - Wallingford, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAPP Oliver 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14% 1%
2 ANAFI Ari 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
3 LENNON Nicholas 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
3 YAO Andrew 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
5 RAMSDELL Owen 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
6 KRALICEK Emmet 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
7 NUSCHKE Conrad 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
8 HERTZOG Ben 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
9 JURKECH Jacob 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 5%
10 ZHANG Jason 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
11 YAO Michael 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
12 NUSCHKE Luka 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
13 SMITH Connor 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.