Battle in Space City ROC/RJCC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, December 9, 2023 at 3:00 PM

University of Houston - Campus Recreation and Wellness Center - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DECKER Hunter 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
2 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 4%
3 SPITLER Ansel 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
3 EMMERT JP 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
5 RAO Neil 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
6 HERNDON Liam 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
7 ELLISOR Drayten 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
8 LIN Zizhen 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
9 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
10 TIEMANN Landen 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
11 PARK Peter 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
12 GASTON Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
13 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
14 GREEN Zachary J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 25%
15 ALTINKOPRU Teoman 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
16 PEI Suyang 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
17 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
18 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
19 MCMAHAN Christopher D. 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
20 STERR Eric 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
21 GEIGER Devin T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 5%
22 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
23 POOLE James M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
24 DANIELS Jonah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
25 COHEN Nathan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
26 GREGORY Dean 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
27 LU Haoyang 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
28 KARIDIS-SCHNEIDER Samuel 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
29 CHEN Leetyan 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
30 OLSON Joseph 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
31 KOSTUSIAK Evan 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
32 POHL Philip 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
33 PATEL Aayan 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
34 MORRIS Quentin 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
35 WILLIAMS Nasir 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
36 BARTON Christian 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
37 LI Tristan 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
38 DANIELS Jonathan 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
39 GOODMAN Benjamin 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
40 ESHONKULOV Aziz 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.