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2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley - - - - 5% 30% 64%
2 CHEN Hanson - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 CHENG Logan - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
3 LU Alex - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
5 WANDJI Noah - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
6 PARK William - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
7 CHANG Jonathan - - - - 6% 33% 61%
8 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
9 YANG Charles - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
10 CHANG Jeremy - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
11 ZHENG Marcus - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
12 LI Edison M. - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
13 GE Felix Fei - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
14 ZHOU Shawn - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
15 CHANG Eric Jonathan - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
16 LATORRE Leonardo - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
17 BIELER Mason - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
18 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 4% 20% 44% 28% 4%
19 LI Lucas - 1% 7% 22% 38% 28% 4%
20 ZHAI Derrick - 3% 16% 37% 32% 10% 1%
21 YANG Tate 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
22 RAU Shogun - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
23 KUANG Cyrus 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
24 KIM Gene - - 2% 13% 39% 38% 8%
25 KO Caleb - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
26 FEDELI Francesco - - 1% 11% 33% 40% 15%
27 CHEN Anson - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 2%
28 HE Ian - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
29 ZHANG Yankai 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
30 ONG Nicholas - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
31 FUKUDA Brando - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
32 HUYNH Matthew - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
33 JIN Andy - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
34 FANG Haoyu - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
35 GUO Austin 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
36 XU Nathan - 1% 11% 33% 40% 14%
37 LI Daniel 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
38 PAN Ethan 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
39 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
40 KIAYIAS Alexander 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
41 DESERANNO Leander - - - 4% 20% 44% 33%
42 DIFRANK Avery 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
43 WEI Winston 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
44 POPOKH Luca 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
45 PLUMMER Waylon - 1% 9% 32% 42% 15%
46 YE Jerry 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
46 MAZAHERI John 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
48 JIN Xuechong Daniel 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
49 WANG Waylon 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
50 DIMINO Kartik 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
51 ZHAI Alex - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
52 LEE Abin 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
53 CHANG Parker - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
54 PARK Andrew 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 3%
55 ZHENG Lerui 3% 25% 42% 24% 5% -
56 HUANG Nathan 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
57 ZENG Albert 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
58 JACOB Ezra 15% 39% 34% 11% 2% - -
59 LAM Kirin 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
60 YOO Christian 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
61 CORAN Roland 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
62 CHEN Solomon 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
63 MAZAHERI Theodore 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2% -
64 LEE Joshua 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
65 WU Thomas 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
66 EVANS Desmond - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
67 CHIANG Aiden 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1% -
68 HUYNH Kaleb 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
69 QU Zhida (richard) - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
70 FRANCIS Seb 14% 40% 33% 12% 2% -
71 SLAIN Owen 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
72 CHEN Jason - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
73 TURBAT Travis 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
74 JUE Lucas 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% - -
75 KIM Andrew 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
76 YANG Gavin 8% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
77 ALVAREZ Sebastian 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
77 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 1%
79 BOUDREAULT Joaquin 5% 31% 41% 20% 4% -
80 MURDOCK Koichi 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
81 GOERDEL Hitchens 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
82 WEBSTER Liam 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
83 KWONG Colin 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
84 KIAYIAS Anthony 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
85 ALI Adam 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
86 CHUNG Royce 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
87 JIN Xueyuan George 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
88 HO Cameron 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
88 SYMMANK Callen 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% -
90 WU James 64% 31% 5% - - -
91 YANG Steve 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
92 TEOH Liam 44% 42% 12% 1% - -
93 DISPENZA Jayan 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
94 BERCEN Eli 11% 42% 34% 11% 2% -
95 KAJITA Grayson 43% 42% 14% 2% - - -
95 PARK Avan 23% 43% 27% 6% 1% - -
97 HUDSON Arav 25% 46% 23% 5% 1% - -
97 CHENG Alvin 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
99 FRANKIE Jasper 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.