2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
5 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
6 PARK William 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
7 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
8 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
9 YANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
10 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
11 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
12 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
13 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 10%
14 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
15 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
16 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
17 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
18 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32% 4%
19 LI Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 32% 4%
20 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
21 YANG Tate 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
22 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
23 KUANG Cyrus 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 4%
24 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 8%
25 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
26 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
27 CHEN Anson 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24% 2%
28 HE Ian 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
29 ZHANG Yankai 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
30 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
31 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
32 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
33 JIN Andy 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
34 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 10%
35 GUO Austin 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
36 XU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
37 LI Daniel 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
38 PAN Ethan 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
39 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30%
40 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
41 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
42 DIFRANK Avery 100% 99% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
43 WEI Winston 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
44 POPOKH Luca 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
45 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
46 YE Jerry 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
46 MAZAHERI John 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
48 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
49 WANG Waylon 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
50 DIMINO Kartik 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
51 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
52 LEE Abin 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
53 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
54 PARK Andrew 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3%
55 ZHENG Lerui 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% -
56 HUANG Nathan 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
57 ZENG Albert 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 3% -
58 JACOB Ezra 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
59 LAM Kirin 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
60 YOO Christian 100% 91% 57% 18% 3% -
61 CORAN Roland 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
62 CHEN Solomon 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
63 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2% -
64 LEE Joshua 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
65 WU Thomas 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
66 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
67 CHIANG Aiden 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
68 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
69 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
70 FRANCIS Seb 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
71 SLAIN Owen 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
72 CHEN Jason 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
73 TURBAT Travis 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
74 JUE Lucas 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
75 KIM Andrew 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
76 YANG Gavin 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
77 ALVAREZ Sebastian 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
77 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 1%
79 BOUDREAULT Joaquin 100% 95% 64% 24% 4% -
80 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
81 GOERDEL Hitchens 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
82 WEBSTER Liam 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
83 KWONG Colin 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
84 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
85 ALI Adam 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
86 CHUNG Royce 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% - -
87 JIN Xueyuan George 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
88 HO Cameron 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
88 SYMMANK Callen 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% -
90 WU James 100% 36% 5% - - -
91 YANG Steve 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
92 TEOH Liam 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
93 DISPENZA Jayan 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
94 BERCEN Eli 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% -
95 KAJITA Grayson 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
95 PARK Avan 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
97 HUDSON Arav 100% 75% 29% 6% 1% - -
97 CHENG Alvin 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
99 FRANKIE Jasper 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.