Event Preview
October NACSunday, October 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3133 | 3350 - 2974 |
| 5 - 8 | 2812 | 2983 - 2706 |
| 9 - 16 | 2641 | 2911 - 2546 |
| 17 - 32 | 2484 | 2540 - 2437 |
| 33 - 64 | 2340 | 2431 - 2219 |
| 65 - 128 | 2062 | 2274 - 1899 |
| 129 - 210 | 1611 | 2004 - 933 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.