Event Preview
October NACSunday, October 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3023 | 3108 - 2865 |
| 5 - 8 | 2764 | 2844 - 2707 |
| 9 - 16 | 2604 | 2688 - 2570 |
| 17 - 32 | 2477 | 2535 - 2426 |
| 33 - 64 | 2363 | 2593 - 2259 |
| 65 - 128 | 2103 | 2266 - 1931 |
| 129 - 195 | 1690 | 1954 - 950 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.