The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Hangover Open Walk N' Roll

Senior Mixed Foil

Monday, January 1, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADLER David J. - - - 1% 11% 45% 43%
2 FINNEY Lorenz - - 1% 9% 38% 42% 10%
3 CLAYMAN John A. - - 1% 8% 35% 42% 15%
3 LEE Jayden J. - - 3% 23% 44% 25% 4%
5 LEE Seungwon - - 1% 8% 36% 52% 3%
6 KOSANOVICH Jillian - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
7 WU Lucas - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
8 GREENEBAUM Oliver - 2% 22% 42% 27% 7% 1%
9 GRAY Caidan - 2% 26% 46% 22% 3% < 1%
10 TAYLOR Jataya - - 3% 13% 35% 40% 9%
11 CANNON Lira J. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
12 DARRICAU Henri J. - - - - 5% 31% 64%
13 ARCHIBALD Ian 8% 35% 40% 15% 2% -
14 CHAN Andrew M. - - - 5% 25% 45% 24%
15 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
16 ISAACSON Calev 3% 20% 42% 30% 6% - -
17 LIU Josh - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
18 WEISS Mateo - 15% 42% 34% 9% 1% -
19 LONG Sam 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
20 LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 36%
21 LEWIS Rachel 1% 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
22 STRAUSS Luke 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 4% -
23 LIU Xiang - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
24 SUN Neo 29% 55% 14% 1% - - -
25 GROGAN Hunter K. 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
26 AGGELER Donovan - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
27 EMERSON Zachary - 3% 20% 46% 27% 4%
28 CURRY Ronald - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9% 1%
29 WARD Haley V. - 2% 42% 43% 11% 1% -
30 ZHOU Austin 7% 33% 41% 16% 2% -
31 REIFF Mathilda 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% - -
32 STOY Patrick 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
33 BOBIER Lucas 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% - -
34 NANNEMANN Chandler 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
35 ISAACSON Henny 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
36 MCADOO Declan 7% 28% 40% 22% 3% - -
37 THOMSON Sarah 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
38 ANDERSON Aslan 15% 66% 17% 2% - - -
39 MEESE Shane 2% 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
40 LUTTON Patricia 31% 45% 20% 3% - - -
41 ZHU Riley 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.