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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHO Inga	-	-	-	-	1%	21%	77%
2	BHATT Morgane	-	-	-	2%	16%	43%	39%
3	CHAPMAN Lesley F.	-	-	5%	22%	45%	28%
3	KERR Margaret E.	-	-	4%	19%	40%	30%	7%
5	WALTERS Anne-Marie	-	-	1%	12%	42%	45%
6	DE LA FOSCADE-CONDON Celine	-	2%	13%	36%	39%	10%
7	GUTKOVSKAYA Nora	-	1%	9%	33%	43%	14%
8	MADDOX Lacey E.	-	6%	27%	40%	22%	4%
9	FAGAN Margaret	-	1%	6%	25%	44%	24%
10	DRESSEL Pamela (Pam) A.	-	-	-	5%	31%	54%	9%
11	WHITT Lynnette A.	1%	7%	28%	41%	21%	3%
12	FEDDE Rachel A.	-	-	5%	23%	44%	28%
13	LEE Claire L.	8%	41%	38%	12%	2%	-
14	HENNIG-TRESTMAN Bonnie L.	-	1%	7%	29%	44%	20%
15	TRELOAR Allison F.	5%	23%	38%	27%	7%	1%
16	HERMES Kathleen A.	4%	21%	38%	28%	8%	1%
17	BASSIK Judith M.	1%	14%	40%	34%	10%	1%
18	PIERRYNOWSKI Kathryn S.	-	-	3%	16%	38%	34%	9%
19	BROWN Rachel (Rachel Brown) F.	-	-	6%	28%	47%	17%	1%
20	MERRITT Elizabeth (Badger) E.	-	-	1%	10%	38%	50%
21	FERGUSON Diane F.	8%	32%	39%	18%	3%	-
22	THURMAN Allison L.	1%	7%	27%	39%	21%	5%	-
23	BRUNELLI Alessandra	1%	15%	45%	31%	6%	-	-
24	HUEY Sharone A.	-	5%	26%	43%	22%	3%
25	LIPPMAN Soyeon	-	7%	32%	44%	16%	1%	-
26	SELTZER Eve	3%	20%	39%	28%	8%	1%	-
27	CHACE-ORTIZ Naneen	27%	49%	20%	3%	-	-
28	ECKSTEIN Harriet A.	35%	43%	18%	3%	-	-
29	MORRISON Monica L.	1%	15%	38%	33%	11%	1%
30	BALCE Cyril	40%	43%	15%	2%	-	-	-
31	HERAWATI Lili	49%	43%	8%	-	-	-	-
32	LUTTON Patricia	13%	40%	34%	11%	1%	-	-
33	CAWTHORN Muriel C.	8%	30%	38%	20%	4%	-
34	COMES Rita	20%	46%	27%	6%	1%	-	-
35	ANGULOT Sharon	64%	31%	5%	-	-	-
36	ROSENFELD Madelon M.	9%	33%	39%	17%	3%	-
37	GUNTRUM Pamella (Pam) L.	27%	42%	24%	6%	1%	-
38	MOORE Annette	40%	46%	13%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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