Event Results

Y-10 Women's Épée

2024 South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCSurprise Map

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 2:30 PM Pasadena Convention Center - Main Ballroom · Pasadena, CA, USA

29 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	WU Jessica	V V V V V	V V V V	4.4	5	+0.6
2	FU Shannon	V V V V V	V V V D	4.0	5	+1.0
3	KOU Cynthia	V V V V V	V V D	3.4	5	+1.6
3	XU Chenyu	V V V V V	V V V D	4.6	5	+0.4
5	ARNOLD Evangeline	V V D V V	V V D	2.6	4	+1.4
6	WONG Isabelle	V D V V	V V D	2.3	3	+0.7
7	DEJOY Leilah	D V D V V	V V D	3.2	3	-0.2
8	PARK Rena	D D D V D	V V D	3.4	1	-2.4
9	WANG Phoebe	V V V V	V D	1.4	4	+2.6
10	LU Chu	V V V V D	V D	1.6	4	+2.4
11	LICON Katherine	V V D V V	V D	3.6	4	+0.4
12	DAI Mina (Chenxi)	V D V V D	V D	2.8	3	+0.2
13	WANG Su	V V V D D	V D	1.8	3	+1.2
14	HE Elsa	V D V V D	V D	2.1	3	+0.9
15	FLYNN Kensington	D D V V V	V D	4.3	3	-1.3
16	QIAO Lori-Ann	V V D D	V D	3.0	2	-1.0
17	MIAO Anthea	D V V D V	D	2.8	3	+0.2
18	VOO Evelyn	D D V D V	D	2.8	2	-0.8
19	SUN Joanna	D D V D V	D	1.3	2	+0.7
20	JOE Everly	V D D D V	D	1.5	2	+0.5
21	HARVILICZ Penelope	D D V D	D	2.6	1	-1.6
22	YANG Nina	D V D D D	D	1.7	1	-0.7
23	KWAK Olivia	V D D D D	D	1.7	1	-0.7
24	SHIH Eva	D V D D D	D	0.9	1	+0.1
25	YOON Adeline	D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6
26	SUN Annika	D D D D D	D	1.4	0	-1.4
27	SCHWARTZMAN Avital	D D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6
27	PARKE Jaime	D D D D D	D	2.5	0	-2.5
29	SHIH Cayla	D D D D D	D	0.9	0	-0.9

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!