Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NEELAM Navya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 WONG Sydney 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
3 HOLDEN Helena 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 25%
5 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
6 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
7 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
8 WONG Angelina 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
9 MA Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
10 PEI Claire 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 8%
11 ZHONG Evelyn 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
12 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
13 XU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
14 LEE Kate 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
15 VOSKOV Olivia 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
16 YAO Chloe 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
17 YU Livia 100% 99% 93% 70% 37% 11% 1%
18 FAN Joy 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
19 LI Anna 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
20 KROPP Anne 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
20 KAKANI Aditi 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
22 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
23 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
24 ZHANG Jane 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
25 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
26 YANG Eleanor 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
27 DU Andria 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
28 SUN Karolyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
29 WANG Cecilia 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
30 KONG Mila W. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
31 TAM Connie 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
32 NING Miranda 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
33 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
34 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
35 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
36 BUNCH Halle 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% < 1% -
37 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
38 HALE Reagan 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
39 ZHU Una 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
40 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 3%
41 LI Nicole 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
42 PETROFF Eva 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
43 XU Mulan 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
44 LEE Eden 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
45 MISHIMA Olivia 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
46 TAYLOR Reagan 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
47 AHMAD Sophia 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 1%
48 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
49 CHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
50 STEMPKOVSKA Dina 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
51 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
52 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
52 ANDRUS Allie 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
54 ORDORICA Abra 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
55 JIANG chenxi 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
56 YU Chloe 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
57 DESAI Ela 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
58 XU Aasta 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
59 YANG Hannah 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
60 SHEIKH PAREE 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
61 LI Ariel 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
62 JONES Elizabeth 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
63 HOWARD Katherine 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
64 LI Allison 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
65 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
66 CHAKRAPANI Tara 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
67 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 95% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
68 PEKKER Adel 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
69 CAMARGO Rafaela 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
70 CHEN Laila 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
71 HAN Emma 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
72 LEE Zoe 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
73 SUN Milly 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
74 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
75 SELTZER Lane 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
76 KIM Abigail 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
77 YOUN Emily 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
78 OLELE Ifechi 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
79 MEGGERS Arya 100% 80% 42% 14% 2% - -
80 LEE Iona 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
81 JU Jennifer 100% 96% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
82 CHOI Arianna 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
83 CHEN Madeline 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
84 YANG Letitia 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
85 BUNCH Helena 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
86 YANG Arianna 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
87 PERERA Chloe 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
88 LAI Juliet 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
89 GRIGORYAN Amaliya 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
90 GORDON Hannah 100% 92% 59% 22% 5% 1% -
91 MORET Teagan 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
92 NAZIR Farah 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
93 WANG Emily 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
94 CAO Cynthia 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
95 CORDOVA Joscelyn 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
96 NISHANTH Krishvi 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
97 CALLAGHAN Aria 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
98 LAMBA Sayona 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.