Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Women's Épée

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
2 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
3 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
3 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
5 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
6 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
7 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
8 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
9 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
10 STERN Savannah 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
11 SHEFFIELD Skye 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
12 BARDIN Kira 100% 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
13 NOH Rachel 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
14 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
15 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 3%
16 LIN Laura 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
17 SMOTRITSKY Liat 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
17 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
19 WONG Caitlin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
19 JIANG Serena 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
21 BI Michelle 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
22 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
23 XU Jessica 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
24 ILYAS Ayah 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
25 CHEN Alicia 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
26 LI Azalea 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
27 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
28 HALL Isabelle 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
29 PETROFF Eva 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
30 WRIGHT Madison 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
31 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
32 WANG Cecilia 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
33 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
34 MA Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
35 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
36 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
37 NGUYEN Ella 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
38 QIU Emily 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
39 WOOLF Fredrika 100% 99% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
39 HALE Avery 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
41 TAM Connie 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
42 CHEN Alina 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
43 DASILVA Mia 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
44 WANG Chloe 100% 94% 59% 20% 3% -
45 NGUYEN Ashley L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
46 GOH Cayla 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
47 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
48 HOM Justina 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
49 LI Alice 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
50 WANG Selina 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
51 WEI Sherry 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
52 DESAI Ela 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
53 ZHANG Jane 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
54 BAWA Jenya 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
55 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
56 LI Caroline 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
56 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 4% -
58 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
58 GAN Shelby 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
60 LEVKOV Maita 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
61 KANG Yenna 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
62 SONG Charlotte 100% 92% 52% 15% 2% - -
63 LIN Cynthia 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
64 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
65 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
66 SHETH Anayaà 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
67 HE Lizbeth 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
68 JEYOON Lauren 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
69 AVALOS Sofia 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
70 BO GENESIS 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
71 KRISHNA Rithika 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
72 LY Hannah 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
73 BARNETT-PAO Nora 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
74 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
75 ZHAN Clare 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
76 KELLEY Elise 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
77 COMBS Hannah 100% 34% 5% - - -
78 REISNER Gabriella 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
79 PRAVEEN Nehara 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
80 CAO Carolyn 100% 95% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
81 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
82 XU Hua 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
83 GALINSKY Lana 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
84 THIBAULT Azzy 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
85 PERKINS Zoe 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
86 GOCHBERG Madeline 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
87 SANTORO Chloe 100% 82% 34% 7% 1% - -
88 MATHEW Noe 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
89 TOSH Audrey 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
90 EL BADAOUI Salma 100% 33% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.