Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SU Landon | V D V V V V | V V V V V | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 2 | DOARES Andrew | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 3 | TSAO Oliver | V V V V V V | V V V D | 2.7 | 6 | +3.3 |
| 3 | FORMENTI Giulio | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 5 | POSY Daniel | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 6 | FERRARA Nicholas S. | V V V V D V | V V D | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| 6 | BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. | V V V V D V | V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 8 | DECK Tyson | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 9 | BENSON Jacob | V D V V V V | V D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 10 | XU Ivan | V D V D V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 11 | KOGAN Nikita | D V V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 11 | FELDMAN Drew | D V V D V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 13 | CHEN Jonathan | D D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 14 | GERSTMANN Max T. | V D D V V D | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 15 | HOTHA Nikhil | V D D V D V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 16 | REHM Liam | D D V D V D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 17 | TIAGI George | V V D D V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 18 | ATWOOD Griffin | V V V D D D | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 19 | PATRICK Timothy M. | D V V D V D | D | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| 20 | KLEBS Robert | D D V V D V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 21 | BIALIK Noah | V V D D D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 22 | ROBLES Julio C. | D V D D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 23 | LIN Felix | V D D V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 24 | KOGAN Yelisey L. | D V D D D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 25 | SHANKAR Karthik | D V D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 26 | TSAO Alister | V D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 27 | CHENG Brandon | D D V D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 28 | SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. | D D D D V D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 29 | MARGULIS Jared | D D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 30 | MONTALVO ashur | V D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 31 | ROSE Colin | D D D D D D | V D | 3.8 | 0 | -3.8 |
| 32 | MILLS Matthew P. | D D D D D D | V D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 33 | DHAR asif | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 34 | SHU Richard | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.