Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, January 19, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SU Landon - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
2 DOARES Andrew - - - 2% 19% 79%
3 TSAO Oliver 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% < 1%
3 FORMENTI Giulio - - - 4% 18% 43% 35%
5 POSY Daniel - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 16%
6 FERRARA Nicholas S. - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
6 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
8 DECK Tyson - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
9 BENSON Jacob 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
10 XU Ivan 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
11 KOGAN Nikita 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
11 FELDMAN Drew - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
13 CHEN Jonathan - 6% 24% 41% 26% 2%
14 GERSTMANN Max T. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
15 HOTHA Nikhil - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
16 REHM Liam 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
17 TIAGI George - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
18 ATWOOD Griffin - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
19 PATRICK Timothy M. - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
20 KLEBS Robert - 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
21 BIALIK Noah 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
22 ROBLES Julio C. 2% 14% 35% 36% 13% 1%
23 LIN Felix 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
24 KOGAN Yelisey L. 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
25 SHANKAR Karthik 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
26 TSAO Alister 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
27 CHENG Brandon 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% -
28 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
29 MARGULIS Jared 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
30 MONTALVO ashur 4% 34% 40% 18% 4% - -
31 ROSE Colin < 1% 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
32 MILLS Matthew P. 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
33 DHAR asif 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
34 SHU Richard 78% 20% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.