Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
2 MCAFEE Jada 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
3 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 3%
3 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
5 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 8% 1%
6 SCHOEW Margot 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
7 FLATT Sophia 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
8 HANLON Lucy 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 2%
9 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
10 COLBY Mercer 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
11 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
12 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
13 BAINS Nandini 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
14 DEHON Inès 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
15 MACKAY Katherine 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
16 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
17 DUBROVINA Irene 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
18 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% -
19 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
20 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
21 BARNES Sarah 100% 89% 48% 12% 1% - -
22 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
23 VILD Grace 100% 94% 65% 23% 4% - -
24 ZHANG Jiaqing 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
25 SOHN Juniper 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
26 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
27 MARTIN Audrey 100% 55% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.