UGA Open 2024

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 8:15 AM

Gainesville, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LABROZZI Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
2 KUCIA Michael J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
3 PAYNE Gareth 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
3 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
5 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
6 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
7 REDDY Daksh 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
8 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
10 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
11 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 97% 74% 32% 5%
12 TUCKER Evan 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
13 KONG Chuizheng 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
15 HONG Robin 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
16 LEE Daehyeon 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
17 JAAFAR Hamza 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
18 MARSHALL Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
19 JUNG Elliot 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
20 SOPER Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
21 ZHOU Alex 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
22 PATEL Krishiv 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
23 SOTTILE Cole 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 2%
24 MA Bochen 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 6%
25 THUN William 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 19% 3%
26 NAM Nathaniel 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
27 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
28 BILLARD Julien 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
29 TURK Reggie 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
30 TOWNS jordan 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
31 LEE Winston 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
32 MCDANIEL Eamon 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
33 KRIEGER Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
34 WILFORD Madigan 100% 72% 27% 5% < 1% - -
35 GREEN Marvin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
36 MAYO Candler 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
37 ZIELINSKI Alexander E. 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 2%
38 JEONG Arisu 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
39 PUVALOWSKI Ryan 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
40 ATON Dave 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
41 RIGSBEE Rachel 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
42 ROBINSON Blake 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
43 MCCUBBINS Tyler 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
44 ROBERTS Quinton 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
45 SANDERS Charlotte 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
46 PAK Joel 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
47 LEE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
48 DOUGLAS John 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
49 FORD Austin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
50 EDWARDS Darby 100% 99% 91% 56% 16% 2% -
51 SILVA Daniel 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
52 PETE Landon 100% 91% 49% 13% 1% -
53 HICKS Matthew 100% 34% 5% - - -
54 WATKINS James 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
55 ARZT Nicholas 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
56 MOSS Riley 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
57 HAWKINS Sophia 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
58 JACKSON Viktoria 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
60 RUSCONI Jane 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.