Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JONES Graham H. - - - 1% 17% 81%
2 DOARES Andrew - - - 1% 14% 86%
3 FELDMAN Drew - - 2% 17% 44% 36%
3 LIN Felix - 3% 17% 36% 33% 9%
5 DECK Tyson - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
6 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. - 1% 8% 31% 43% 17%
7 CHEN Jonathan - 6% 27% 45% 22%
8 GERSTMANN Max T. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
9 KLEBS Robert - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
10 JENSBY Jason 5% 26% 42% 23% 4%
11 MONTALVO ashur 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
12 WALKE Devin 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
13 HALL Noah 1% 16% 43% 31% 7% -
14 TSAO Oliver - 3% 21% 45% 30% 2%
15 BIALIK Noah 19% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
16 ROSE Colin - 3% 22% 44% 28% 2%
17 POSY Daniel - 4% 22% 45% 29%
18 FENG Brendan 3% 23% 42% 25% 6% -
19 TIAGI George - 4% 21% 44% 29% 2%
20 ATWOOD Griffin - 5% 23% 44% 26% 2%
21 MARGULIS Jared 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
22 BENSON Jacob - 6% 26% 42% 22% 3%
23 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
24 XU Ivan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
25 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 14% 41% 34% 10% 1%
26 SHU Richard 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
27 RINALDI Savio 25% 44% 25% 6% - -
28 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 62% 32% 5% - - -
29 MILLS Matthew P. 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
30 PARCELL Colby 11% 47% 33% 8% 1% -
31 TSAO Alister 39% 43% 15% 2% -
32 SU Ji 8% 32% 40% 17% 2% -
33 TROEH Christopher 6% 36% 40% 16% 2% -
34 LIEUWMA Nicolas 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
35 ONION Marc 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.