Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JONES Graham H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
3 LIN Felix 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
5 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
7 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
8 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
9 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
10 JENSBY Jason 100% 95% 69% 27% 4%
11 MONTALVO ashur 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
12 WALKE Devin 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
13 HALL Noah 100% 99% 82% 39% 7% -
14 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 97% 77% 31% 2%
15 BIALIK Noah 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -
16 ROSE Colin 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 2%
17 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
18 FENG Brendan 100% 97% 73% 31% 6% -
19 TIAGI George 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 2%
20 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 95% 72% 28% 2%
21 MARGULIS Jared 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
22 BENSON Jacob 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 3%
23 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
24 XU Ivan 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
25 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 86% 44% 11% 1%
26 SHU Richard 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
27 RINALDI Savio 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
28 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 100% 38% 5% - - -
29 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
30 PARCELL Colby 100% 89% 41% 8% 1% -
31 TSAO Alister 100% 61% 18% 2% -
32 SU Ji 100% 92% 60% 20% 2% -
33 TROEH Christopher 100% 94% 58% 18% 2% -
34 LIEUWMA Nicolas 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% -
35 ONION Marc 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.