Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HENRY Cadel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
2 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
3 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
3 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
5 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
6 BROOKS Theo 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
7 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
8 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
9 LI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
10 LEVY Daniel 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
11 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 47% 6%
12 DETERMAN Sebastian 100% 100% 93% 65% 22% 2%
13 CHOU Qianhao 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
14 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
15 PROSPER Nathaniel 100% 94% 69% 29% 5% -
16 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 4%
17 TAKEBE Ren 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
18 ALLEN Asa 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
19 VALIYEV Aslan 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
20 ZHANG Weihang 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
21 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
22 JAVIER Xavier 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
23 PIPKE Garrett 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
24 BERGAN Chase 100% 75% 31% 5% - -
25 PLATT Michael (Trace) 100% 99% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
26 WANG Ziyao 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
27 DONNELL Cillian 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
28 LEE Aiden 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
29 BADMUS David 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
30 PETACCHI Leonardo 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
31 BROOKS Isaac 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
32 URQUILLA Devin 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
33 ABRAMSON Zander 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 9%
34 TOURÉ-DEMARCO Toussaint 100% 79% 35% 6% - -
35 SAFAI Bardia 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
35 PISTILLI James 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1%
37 BONGIORNO Redding 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.