MFA Friday Night Epee (Senior Open)

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, January 26, 2024 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
2 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 JAKLITSCH Michael (Mike) T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
5 CAMPBELL-KRUGER Adam W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
6 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 25%
7 HSU Joshua 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
8 KENNY Oliver R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% 1%
9 SODHI Jaco 100% 100% 98% 81% 36% 6%
10 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
11 PERALTA Christian 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
12 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
13 AHMED Isa 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
14 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
15 SITTER Gregoire 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 9% -
16 SIM Ian 100% 99% 90% 55% 16% 2%
17 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
18 HARGROVE Charles 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 35%
19 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 98% 69% 25% 4% - -
20 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
21 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
22 MITTMAN Lela Z. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
23 WONG Ethan 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5% -
24 ACKERMANN Richard 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
25 MA Ryan 100% 78% 24% 3% - -
26 RISTOW Carsten 100% 99% 89% 51% 14% 1% -
27 CHENG Zijun 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
28 MANA Arnav 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
29 CONTI Braeden 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
30 LOGUE Paul 100% 98% 77% 28% 4% -
31 CHANG Abigail 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
32 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% - -
33 LIN Jason 100% 64% 15% 1% - -
34 MORETTI David 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
35 PERALTA Christian 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
36 SITTER Keano 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
37 LIN Shenghai 100% 50% 9% 1% - -
38 LIN Andrew 100% 81% 40% 12% 2% - -
39 MCGUIRE Maximilien 100% 66% 19% 2% - -
40 BUJANOVER Maayan 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.