Polar Bear Open

Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 12:30 PM

The Blake School Hopkins Campus - Hopkins, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HORAN Sean T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
2 BISSEN Quinn 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
3 LIMER Avi 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 9%
3 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
5 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
6 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
7 SCHROEDER Karl A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
8 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
9 HONEK Kyle 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% - -
10 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
11 SHOEMAKER Oliver 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1% -
12 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
13 SMITH Bram 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
14 KIM Claire 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
15 GLENNON Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 6%
16 NWOKOCHA Chizoro 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
17 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
18 FRALEY Orion 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% - -
19 MOHAMED Sara 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
20 LEE Vincent 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
21 SANFORD Wesley 100% 87% 43% 9% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.