The Battle of the Bay Div1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
2 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 12%
3 YU Anders 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 95% 63% 18%
5 WENDLER Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13%
6 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
7 DEANS Donovan 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
8 HAMMER Zachary (Zack) W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43% 6%
9 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
10 WU Trevor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 15%
11 LI Daniel J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 65% 19%
12 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
13 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 6%
14 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
15 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
16 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
17 PARK Rion 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
18 LI Matthew 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
19 FULTON Richard A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
20 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
21 MA Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
22 WU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 4%
22 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 3%
24 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
25 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
26 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
27 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 6%
28 NGUYEN martin 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
29 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
30 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
31 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
32 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
33 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
34 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
35 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
36 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% 1%
37 LAM Nicolas 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% -
38 SAH Steven 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
39 PETERSON Lucas 100% 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% -
40 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% -
41 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 80% 32% 5% -
42 ALBERS Asher 100% 100% 88% 37% 6% - -
43 ZHANG Jayden 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
43 WONG Evan 100% 97% 77% 31% 6% -
45 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
46 GORDON William L. 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
46 WOLINSKY Alex 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17%
48 ZHAO Bowen 100% 100% 92% 49% 10% 1%
49 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
50 LI Richard 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
51 MAK Osman K. 100% 78% 18% 1% - -
52 CHUN Dashel 100% 90% 49% 13% 1% - -
53 KIM Jonah 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% -
54 TUAN Evan 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2% -
55 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 98% 83% 43% 10% 1% -
56 LIU Aaron 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
57 LIANG Ethan 100% 33% 2% - - -
58 LIU Yuxuan 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
59 DUNLAP Ezra 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
60 HE Bourne 100% 53% 7% - - - -
61 ZHOU Aiden 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
62 RUBIN Max 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
63 PERALTA Christian 100% 83% 24% 3% - - -
64 YUE Jackson 100% 81% 31% 5% - -
65 BHANOT Arjun 100% 32% 2% - - - -
66 PEZESHKI Oliver 100% 84% 22% 2% - - -
67 BECKER Ethan 100% 63% 11% 1% - - -
68 GUO Hairuo 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
69 LEE David S. 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
70 GUNJAPALLY Varnith Reddy 100% 27% 2% - - - -
71 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.