LFA Winter Open

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Body Shop Athletic Club - Murfreesboro, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PATEL Kushal 100% 100% 99% 77% 24%
2 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 18%
3 MARKOV Dmitry 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
3 DREWRY William 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
5 JOHNSON Soren 100% 96% 68% 24% 3%
6 ARNOLD Samuel 100% 93% 61% 20% 2%
7 KIM Emily 100% 80% 39% 9% 1%
8 MACGREGOR Alexander 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 2%
9 DONG Joshua 100% 100% 96% 67% 16%
10 FORD Mattie 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
11 SCARAMUZZA Gian F. 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
12 CLEMONS Adder 100% 100% 87% 43% 8%
13 MOYNIHAN Jones 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
14 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 98% 80% 26%
15 LIU Yunhao 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
16 DREWRY Alexandra 100% 100% 90% 41% 6%
17 SPAULDING Maleah 100% 47% 5% - -
18 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 68% 14% 1% -
19 MASSIE Jay Thomas 100% 85% 33% 5% -
20 O'DUFFY Grace 100% 97% 80% 41% 8% -
21 BULLER Chloe 100% 63% 12% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.