Event Results
LFA Winter OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ARROWSMITH II Alan M. | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 2 | TOUSSAINT Semaj | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 3 | MOYNIHAN Jones | D D D D | V V V D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 3 | PATEL Kushal | D V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 5 | SUNDQUIST Matthew | V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 6 | MARKOV Dmitry | V V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 7 | DREWRY William | D V D V V | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 8 | CLEMONS Adder | D D D D | V V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 9 | WILLIAMS Eli | V V V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 10 | MASSIE Jay Thomas | D V V V V | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 11 | SCARAMUZZA Gian F. | V D V D V | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 12 | WENTWORTH Ashley | V V V D D | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 13 | JOHNSON Soren | V D D V | V D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 14 | FORD Mattie | V D D D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 15 | ARNOLD Samuel | D D V D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 16 | DREWRY Alexandra | V D D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 17 | KIM Emily | V D V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 18 | MACGREGOR Alexander | V D D V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 19 | DONG Joshua | D V V D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 20 | SPAULDING Maleah | D D D V D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 21 | O'DUFFY Grace | D D D D V | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 22 | BULLER Chloe | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |