Windy City Fencing Open Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Menomonee club - Chicago, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
2 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
3 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 11% 1%
3 GINZBURG Adam 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
5 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
6 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
7 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
8 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
9 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 45% 13%
10 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
11 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
12 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
13 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
14 DHAL Leon 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
15 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
16 CANCELO Jose 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
17 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 33% 5%
18 DURHAM Porter 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
19 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
20 MCDOWELL Will 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
21 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 99% 87% 58% 22% 3% -
22 TANG Ellen 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% -
23 BLASE John 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
24 MILLER Lance W. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
25 ZHAO Alina 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
25 TANG Elaine 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.