March NAC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 2, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley - - - 4% 26% 70%
2 CHEN Hanson - - - - 2% 21% 76%
3 DOELL Ethan - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
3 CHANG Jonathan - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
5 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
6 CHENG Logan - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
7 PARK William - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
8 WANDJI Noah - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
9 YANG Charles - - - 3% 16% 46% 35%
10 KO Caleb - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
11 LU Alex - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
12 DESERANNO Leander - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
13 ZHENG Marcus - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
14 TSE Ngon Yin Anson - - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
15 CHEN Anson - - 2% 12% 36% 38% 11%
16 HAYES Stewart - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
17 SIMONOV Timofey - - - - 4% 29% 67%
18 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
18 YU ShiYu (Henry) - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
20 CHANG Eric Jonathan - - 2% 15% 45% 39%
20 CHANG Jeremy - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
22 HUA Aaron - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
23 ONG Nicholas - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
24 ZHOU Shawn - 5% 24% 45% 25%
25 BIELER Mason - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
26 KIM Gene - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
27 XIE Wenxi - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
28 WANG Tiger - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
29 FUKUDA Brando - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
30 WU Wallace - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
31 LU Mengdi - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
32 LIU Alex - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 4%
33 LI Edison M. - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
34 GRIGORIEV Michael - 1% 7% 27% 45% 20%
35 PAN Ethan - - 3% 13% 34% 38% 12%
36 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
37 ZHAO Nathan - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
37 LI Lucas - 2% 11% 32% 36% 16% 2%
39 QU Zhida (richard) - 1% 10% 37% 39% 11% 1%
40 XIE Jayden - - 6% 26% 41% 23% 3%
41 NAIR Sujit 1% 8% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
42 SHIN Noah - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
43 TOOMRE Kai - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
44 YOU Alan - - 1% 10% 31% 42% 15%
45 HOU Gaven - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
46 XU Nathan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
47 QIAN Henry - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
48 LI Daniel 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
49 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
50 GE Felix Fei - 4% 22% 45% 28%
51 LYU Mingye - - 1% 6% 26% 46% 22%
52 OZAWA Taishi - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
52 HARRIS Hayden 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
54 YANG Tate - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
55 WEI Winston - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
56 HUYNH Matthew - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
57 WANG sicheng 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
58 XIAN kevin - - - 4% 20% 48% 28%
59 FANG Haoyu - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
60 LEUNG Tsun Yin (TY) - 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
61 FEDELI Francesco - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
62 LU Jingyi - - 5% 27% 46% 21%
63 EVANS Desmond 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
64 GOERDEL Hitchens 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1% -
65 ZHANG Raphael - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
66 QIAN Zekai - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 1%
67 PARK Jayden 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
68 YANG Steve - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
69 YU ShiLin (Harry) - - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6%
70 YE Jerry - 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
71 LI Mercury - - 3% 18% 43% 30% 6%
72 HE Ian - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 4%
73 RAU Shogun - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
74 MAO Runxian 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3% -
75 PAINTER Zachary 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
76 SUAREZ Lucas 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
77 CHIANG Aiden 12% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
78 WANG Mendy - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
79 JIN Xuechong Daniel 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
80 PARK Avan 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
81 YU Eric - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
82 HONG Edwin 6% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1%
83 KIM Daniel 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
84 KIAYIAS Alexander 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
85 SHEN Alaric 15% 65% 19% 2% - -
86 PARK Andrew 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 2%
87 GUO Austin 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
88 JIN Honglim - - 2% 15% 38% 35% 10%
89 PAN Howard Haoran - 6% 24% 40% 24% 5% -
90 GUO Joey - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
91 ZHAI Alex 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
91 MAZAHERI John 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
93 CHEN Steven - 6% 24% 37% 26% 7% 1%
94 HART-SYED declan 15% 40% 34% 10% 1%
95 XU Ethan - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
96 TSANG Kwok Kuen - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
97 WANG Waylon 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
98 ZHENG Lerui 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
99 HOARE Gabriel 16% 51% 27% 6% 1% - -
100 JUE Lucas 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
101 WANG Caleb 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
102 LEE Abin 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5% -
103 VENAFRO Tristan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
104 POPOKH Luca 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
105 CHANG Parker 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
106 GANAPATHI Eshan 1% 12% 35% 37% 13% 2%
107 BAI Austin - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
108 PESKIN Kepler 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% -
109 NABASSOUA Djibril - 3% 23% 49% 23% 3%
110 CZARNECKI Thomas 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
110 LI Ryan - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
112 XING Ocean - 6% 44% 38% 11% 1%
113 PLUMMER Waylon - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
114 ZHANG Jason 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
115 KIM Seoheul 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
116 SLAIN Owen 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
117 DIFRANK Avery 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
118 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
118 SHAFFER Henry 1% 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
120 CHOI Hunter 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
121 WANG Eason 6% 33% 40% 18% 3% - -
122 YU Jinyuan 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
123 QI Ethan 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
124 ULYSSE Jacob 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
125 FOO Kingston 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
126 CHEN Kurtis 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
127 KUANG Cyrus - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1%
128 WU Gengze (Daniel) 3% 18% 33% 29% 14% 3% -
129 GUGALA Frank 9% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
130 WEI Augustus 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
131 CHEN Jason - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
132 WU Thomas - 6% 26% 40% 22% 4% -
132 ZHANG Aiden 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
134 CHEN Ryker 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
134 MAZAHERI Theodore 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
136 KWONG Colin 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
137 LIN George 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
138 ZHENG Jonathan - 7% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
139 ZHENG Austin 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
140 SUN Roy 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
141 OH Christopher - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
142 KIM Andrew 2% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1%
143 LIN Stewart 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
144 YAN Rian 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1%
145 KUANG Vincent 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
146 BEDWORTH Alistair 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
147 CAO Joshua 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% -
148 YEE Colin 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
149 HO Christopher 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
150 SHARMA Ari 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
151 ZHOU Ezra 3% 23% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
152 TAN benjamin 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
153 LEE Conrad - 3% 18% 42% 29% 7% 1%
154 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
155 KAJITA Grayson 38% 45% 15% 1% - - -
156 JIN Xueyuan George 13% 38% 36% 12% 1%
157 LIU Aiden 76% 21% 2% - - -
158 TROUSDALE Brody 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
159 CREMEL Remi 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
160 LEE Aeden 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
161 HUYNH Kaleb 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
162 XING Lucas 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
163 GRIGORYAN Erik 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
164 HE Gary 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
165 MURDOCK Koichi 1% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
166 WU Vincent Moxiao 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
167 TEOH Liam 12% 45% 34% 8% 1% - -
167 DING Sam 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
169 ROPER Griffin 23% 54% 20% 3% - - -
170 LI Aaron 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
171 LAM Kirin 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
172 QIU Yiran 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
172 LIN Travis 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
174 WONG Connor 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
175 CHEN Solomon 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
176 SONG Enoch 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
177 NGO Lincoln 55% 37% 8% - - - -
178 ZHANG Derek 1% 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
179 SHENOY sean 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
180 THOMAS Noah 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
181 PROSSER Zachary 21% 43% 28% 7% 1%
182 HO Cameron 46% 41% 12% 1% - -
183 MAK Ryder 1% 20% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
184 DANTON Ryan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
185 ROBERTS Nikolai 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
185 LAM Lazarus 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
185 CAO Sean 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
188 TANG Brayden 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
189 GOLDSTEIN Benjamin 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
189 MA Madrid 56% 38% 5% - - - -
191 GILLIS Philip 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
191 SERBAN Aaron 71% 27% 3% - - -
193 SHENOY Neil 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
193 LI Alex 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
193 MORALES Tycho 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
193 CHANG Austin 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
197 RIOS Miles 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
198 ANDERSON Stellan 90% 9% - - - - -
199 LE Oliver 87% 13% 1% - - - -
200 LI Jonathan 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.