March NAC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 3, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 NEELAM Navya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
5 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
6 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
7 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
8 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
9 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
10 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
11 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
12 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
13 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
14 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
15 LEE Claire 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
16 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
17 HABEK Sophia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
18 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 26%
19 SOBUS Yanka 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
20 TAM Connie 100% 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1%
21 ALEKSANDROVA Kristin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
22 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
23 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
24 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
25 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
26 FRANGER Macy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
27 IYER Ishana 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
28 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
29 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
30 MENDOZA zoie 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
31 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
32 GUAN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 5%
33 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
34 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
35 SHEFFIELD Skye 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
36 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
37 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 23%
38 SUN Zeyu 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 27%
39 LI Azalea 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 3%
40 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
41 SUN Hanya 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 2%
42 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
43 HOLDEN Helena 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
44 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
45 CHERNIS Liah 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
46 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 100% 92% 59% 15% 1%
47 LI Olivia 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 14%
48 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
49 AIRES Julia 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
50 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
51 ILYAS Ayah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
52 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29% 4%
53 SONG Sunny 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
54 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
55 NGUYEN Ella 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
56 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
57 FENG Iris 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
58 WALLER DEL VALLE Alanis 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 13%
59 SCHMITT Harper 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
60 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
61 KAUR Manroop 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 1%
62 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1%
63 KANASKAR Ila 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13% 1%
64 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
65 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
66 CHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
67 ZHU Una 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
68 STERN Savannah 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
69 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
70 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
71 WU Michelle 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
72 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
73 JIANG Serena 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
74 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
75 WANG Cecilia 100% 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
76 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
77 SUN Zhanwen 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
78 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
79 DWIGGINS Reese 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
80 RAMEY Alexa 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5% -
81 BURICEA Ada 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
82 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
83 WU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
84 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
85 PAN Angela 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 1%
86 MA Sophie 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
87 KONG Mila W. 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
88 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
89 YANG Eleanor 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
90 OLELE Ifechi 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
91 GOH Cayla 100% 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
92 LI Alice 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
93 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 6% -
94 BLANCO Ariia 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 3%
95 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
95 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
97 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
97 JAQUISH Zoey 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
97 LIN Isabel 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
100 CHEN Alina 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
101 ZHU Riley 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
101 CHI Zoe 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
103 VOSKOV Olivia 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
104 KUTSY Olga 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
105 YUNG Bethany 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
106 DENEALE Lucia 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
107 KARTHIK Diya 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
108 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 100% 94% 62% 19% 2%
109 NGUYEN Renee 100% 98% 75% 29% 4% -
110 WANG Chloe 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
111 XU Jessica 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
112 TISMENSKY Abigail 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
113 SUN Karolyn 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
113 AWALEGAONKAR Saina 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
115 JORDAN Zoe 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17% 1%
116 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
117 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
118 GAN Shelby 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
119 HAUSHEER Kuncen 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% -
120 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
121 ZHANG Helen 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
122 LEE Valerie 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2% -
123 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
124 DYMAR Anna 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
125 DESAI Ela 100% 96% 60% 17% 2% -
126 TREPANIER Georgina 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
127 PETROFF Eva 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
128 HUANG Selina 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% 1% -
129 ZHAN Clare 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
130 HALE Avery 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
131 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
132 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 4%
133 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
134 ZHAO Emma 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
135 PEI Claire 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
135 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
137 WANG Angelina 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 2%
138 SHIBLEY Micaela 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
139 RADOV Una 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
140 KROPP Anne 100% 100% 94% 61% 19% 2%
141 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 99% 83% 46% 12% 1%
141 YOUN Kylie 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
143 HERD Angela 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
144 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
145 HE Anna 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
146 JIANG Xinchen 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
146 NOGELA Aya 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5% -
148 LEE Adelynn 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
148 BAO Queena 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
150 TISMENSKY Avital 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
151 KIM Vivian 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
152 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
153 NING Miranda 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
154 ZHAO Ellie 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
155 KELLER Mia 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
156 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 93% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
157 FU Shannon 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
158 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
159 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
160 YOON Claire 100% 12% - - - -
161 KELMAN Nora 100% 95% 35% 5% - -
162 DESAI Eesha 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
163 BI Michelle 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
164 BLAETZ Isadora 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
164 MOHAN Riya 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
166 SHETH Anayaà 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
167 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
168 HALE Reagan 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
169 LE Luana 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
170 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
171 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
172 KOU Cynthia 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
173 JIANG chenxi 100% 98% 49% 11% 1% - -
173 INDIKETIYA Dinuki 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
175 BURKS Madison 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
176 XIAO Katelyn 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
177 SUNG Audrey 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
178 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
179 CHEN Dian 100% 54% 13% 2% - - -
180 CHO Jacey 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
181 JU Jennifer 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
182 REED Katya 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
183 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
184 ZU Jacqueline 100% 34% 5% - - - -
185 XU Mulan 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
186 FU Ella 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
187 ZHAO Yanning 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
188 SHEN Catherine 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
189 LI Jasmine 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
190 SIDDABATHUNI ananya 100% 19% 1% - - -
191 MIXON Ivory 100% 71% 20% 2% - - -
192 MAENG Gloria 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
193 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
193 YAN Yuzi 100% 7% - - - - -
195 REN Ivanka 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
196 WANG Chantal 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
196 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
198 LI Chloe 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.