March NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 3, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard - - - - 4% 31% 65%
2 BAI Evan - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
3 YANG Phillip - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
3 CHAMBERS Miles - - - 1% 6% 30% 63%
5 WONG Ron - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
6 LIU Victor - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
7 LEE Nathan Uju - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9%
8 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
9 TANI Tino - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
9 ZHAO Royce - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
9 KOZLOFF Wyatt - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
12 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
13 KANG Jeremy - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
14 YU BOWEN - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
15 YU Ian - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11%
16 HAO Johnny - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
17 WEI Rian - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 15%
18 HWANG Hagan - - 1% 5% 24% 45% 25%
19 GU Andrew - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
20 TANG Morgan - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 29%
21 LIN Brendan - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
22 URSU Marcel T. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
22 NGO Emerson 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
24 KHANNA Adamantis - - - 2% 13% 38% 47%
25 BOSITA Brennan - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
26 SONG Aidan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
27 HU Harry - - - 3% 19% 48% 30%
28 KROON Landon - 2% 15% 39% 36% 8%
29 SRIVATS Vedh - - 3% 15% 42% 40%
30 BEAL Colton - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
31 BADMUS Joshua - 1% 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
32 AVERY Marcus 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
33 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - - 2% 16% 47% 35%
34 CAO Donald - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
35 ARISTOV Ilya - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
35 GRIGORIEV Roman - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
37 XIAO Brayden - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
38 KARAVAS Nicholas - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
39 LI Huangziyue - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
40 LIN Alex - 1% 10% 30% 40% 17% 2%
40 ZHAO Aidan - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
40 LUC Cedric - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
43 KANG Matthew - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
43 WONG Hawken - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
45 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 5% 22% 45% 28%
46 DAI Zihou - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
46 WANG Matthew - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
48 SO Morgan 1% 12% 43% 35% 9% 1% -
49 YUEN Caleb - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
49 SRIVATSAV Ishaan - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
51 ZHANG KAIQI - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
52 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
52 ROH Jaden 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
54 ISAYENKO Daniel - 1% 7% 20% 33% 29% 10%
55 LUC Linkin - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
55 MATTOO Dhruv - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
57 KAUL Ishaan - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
58 IM Tyler - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
59 HO Alden 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
59 HE Zhikai (kyle) - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
61 MIAO Heqi - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
62 CHEN Jack - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
63 NAFTALI Ori 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
64 LEE Winston 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
65 WU Vincent - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
66 NAIR Sujit - 1% 10% 35% 37% 15% 2%
67 SOULES-ONO Makoa - 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
68 TAYCHER Aaron - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
69 ROPER F. Elijah - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
70 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
71 KUSHKOV Michael 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
72 AGARWAAL Yohan - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 13%
73 LAU Kyrus - 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
74 CHAN Ewan 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
75 HENDERSON Louis - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
76 KANIA Alexander - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
77 FENG Ledi - - - 4% 27% 55% 14%
78 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
79 KUMAR Avinash 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
79 CHEN Aaron 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
81 LEVY Daniel 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
82 GONZALEZ Paul 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
83 KAYDALIN David 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
84 YU Jayden - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
85 SLAVNOV Anton - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
86 ZHANG Aiden 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
87 ZONG Shiyan 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
88 CHAVAN Aditya 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
89 DECHEV Vlad 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
90 VO Blake - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
91 SHAPIRO Leo - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
92 MHLEY Gavin 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
93 YANG LOUIS 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
94 D'AMELJ Edoardo - - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6%
95 LEE Alexander 49% 38% 12% 2% - - -
96 CHEN Jialiang - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9% 1%
97 QI Jeremy 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
98 KIM Junseong 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
99 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
100 LIEBISCH Milo 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
101 KIM Dylan 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
102 FU BRANDEN - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
103 ROBINSON Ezra 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
104 LI Ryan 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
105 KAMURA Kosei 10% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
106 LUCAS William 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
107 BRISENO Ethan 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1%
108 TITOV Zachary - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 2%
109 LEE Brendan - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
110 BIVIJI Adam - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
111 HAGN Maximilian 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
112 ZHANG Shaoxuan 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
113 MELE Gianni - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
114 DENG Richard 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
115 SRIVATSAV Anay 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
116 BROOKS Drake 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
117 ZALETAEV Jacob - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
118 ABADA lucca 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
118 曾 ZIMO - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
120 ARCHIBALD Zachary - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
121 QI Zach 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
122 YI Andrew 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
123 FAN Yuen 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
124 MALEK Zak - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
125 CHEN Henry 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
126 HRISTOV Nickolas - 3% 20% 44% 30% 4% -
127 NGUYEN Ethan 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
128 HAN Kyle 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
129 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
130 LEE Jayden 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
131 JANG Seohyeon 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
132 FISH Wade 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
133 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
134 TAN Daniel 17% 47% 29% 7% 1% - -
135 KOREN George - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
136 KIM Eric - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
137 BRADIC Andreja 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
138 INGRAFFEA Eli - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
139 LUO Gavin 52% 38% 10% 1% - - -
140 WANG David - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
141 WONG Alexander 4% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
141 RAMBHIA Smit 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
143 JI Derek 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
144 LIU Paul 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
145 LIU Nico 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
146 FAN Yuchen - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
147 SLOAN Ethan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
147 CHEN Shawn - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
149 THOMAS Liam 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
150 YU Joshua 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
151 CHAN Troy 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
152 MARCISZ Maksym 5% 27% 42% 20% 4% - -
153 BURENKOV Matthew 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
154 ORLINO Sam 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
155 LU Simon 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
156 SINGH Swaran 74% 23% 2% - - - -
157 HSIEH Maxwell 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
158 DUFF Michael 23% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
159 MAKLIN David 3% 21% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
160 LIU Enrique 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
161 NELSON Logan 32% 44% 20% 3% - - -
162 CHEN Brian 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
162 ZHANG Caleb 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
164 ZHANG Howard 4% 31% 40% 20% 5% 1% -
165 FAVO Christopher 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
166 ZHANG Mark 6% 43% 37% 12% 2% - -
167 WANG Harrison 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
168 ZHANG Weihang 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
169 KELLEHER Liam 76% 22% 2% - - - -
169 XU Ethan 8% 49% 34% 9% 1% - -
171 LEE Aiden 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% - -
172 GU Dean 60% 32% 7% 1% - -
173 GUVEN Derin 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
174 NELSON Henry 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
175 LUO Winston 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
176 O'KEEFE Brody 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
177 HOLMES Xavier 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
177 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW < 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7% 1%
177 PEARL Gavin 23% 50% 24% 3% - - -
180 YAO John 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
181 WANG James 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
181 FONG Carson 2% 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
183 STYS Owen 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
183 BADMUS David 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
183 KASIAN Jack 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
186 KUNIMOTO Adam 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
187 MISHRA Ayan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
188 SHARMA Ayaan 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
189 DING Orlando 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
189 JASPERSON Nolan 8% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
191 MALLARD Arthur 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
191 WANFORD Leuca 2% 39% 41% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.