March NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 3, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
5 WONG Ron 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
6 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
8 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
9 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
9 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
9 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
12 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
13 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
14 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
15 YU Ian 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
16 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
17 WEI Rian 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
18 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
19 GU Andrew 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
20 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
21 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
22 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
22 NGO Emerson 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
24 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
25 BOSITA Brennan 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
26 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
27 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
28 KROON Landon 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
29 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
30 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
31 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
32 AVERY Marcus 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
33 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 35%
34 CAO Donald 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
35 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
35 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
37 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
38 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
39 LI Huangziyue 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
40 LIN Alex 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20% 2%
40 ZHAO Aidan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
40 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
43 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
43 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
45 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 28%
46 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
46 WANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
48 SO Morgan 100% 99% 88% 45% 10% 1% -
49 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
49 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
51 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
52 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
52 ROH Jaden 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
54 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
55 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
55 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
57 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
58 IM Tyler 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
59 HO Alden 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
59 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
61 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
62 CHEN Jack 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
63 NAFTALI Ori 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
64 LEE Winston 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
65 WU Vincent 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
66 NAIR Sujit 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
67 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% -
68 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
69 ROPER F. Elijah 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
70 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
71 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
72 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 13%
73 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
74 CHAN Ewan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
75 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
76 KANIA Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
77 FENG Ledi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 14%
78 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
79 KUMAR Avinash 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
79 CHEN Aaron 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
81 LEVY Daniel 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
82 GONZALEZ Paul 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
83 KAYDALIN David 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
84 YU Jayden 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
85 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
86 ZHANG Aiden 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
87 ZONG Shiyan 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
88 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
89 DECHEV Vlad 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
90 VO Blake 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
91 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
92 MHLEY Gavin 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
93 YANG LOUIS 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
94 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
95 LEE Alexander 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
96 CHEN Jialiang 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1%
97 QI Jeremy 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 5% -
98 KIM Junseong 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
99 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
100 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
101 KIM Dylan 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
102 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2%
103 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
104 LI Ryan 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
105 KAMURA Kosei 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
106 LUCAS William 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
107 BRISENO Ethan 100% 98% 79% 43% 12% 1%
108 TITOV Zachary 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
109 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
110 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
111 HAGN Maximilian 100% 99% 93% 68% 33% 8% 1%
112 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% 1%
113 MELE Gianni 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
114 DENG Richard 100% 94% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
115 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 5% -
116 BROOKS Drake 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
117 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
118 ABADA lucca 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
118 曾 ZIMO 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
120 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
121 QI Zach 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
122 YI Andrew 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
123 FAN Yuen 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
124 MALEK Zak 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
125 CHEN Henry 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
126 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 4% -
127 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
128 HAN Kyle 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
129 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
130 LEE Jayden 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
131 JANG Seohyeon 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
132 FISH Wade 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
133 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
134 TAN Daniel 100% 83% 36% 7% 1% - -
135 KOREN George 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
136 KIM Eric 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
137 BRADIC Andreja 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
138 INGRAFFEA Eli 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 4%
139 LUO Gavin 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
140 WANG David 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
141 WONG Alexander 100% 96% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
141 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
143 JI Derek 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
144 LIU Paul 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
145 LIU Nico 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
146 FAN Yuchen 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
147 SLOAN Ethan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
147 CHEN Shawn 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
149 THOMAS Liam 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
150 YU Joshua 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
151 CHAN Troy 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% - -
152 MARCISZ Maksym 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% - -
153 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
154 ORLINO Sam 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
155 LU Simon 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
156 SINGH Swaran 100% 26% 2% - - - -
157 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 51% 12% 2% - - -
158 DUFF Michael 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
159 MAKLIN David 100% 97% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
160 LIU Enrique 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
161 NELSON Logan 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
162 CHEN Brian 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
162 ZHANG Caleb 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
164 ZHANG Howard 100% 96% 65% 26% 5% 1% -
165 FAVO Christopher 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
166 ZHANG Mark 100% 94% 50% 14% 2% - -
167 WANG Harrison 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
168 ZHANG Weihang 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
169 KELLEHER Liam 100% 24% 2% - - - -
169 XU Ethan 100% 92% 44% 10% 1% - -
171 LEE Aiden 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
172 GU Dean 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
173 GUVEN Derin 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
174 NELSON Henry 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
175 LUO Winston 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
176 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
177 HOLMES Xavier 100% 96% 79% 47% 19% 4% -
177 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% 1%
177 PEARL Gavin 100% 77% 27% 4% - - -
180 YAO John 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% -
181 WANG James 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
181 FONG Carson 100% 98% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
183 STYS Owen 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
183 BADMUS David 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
183 KASIAN Jack 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
186 KUNIMOTO Adam 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
187 MISHRA Ayan 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
188 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
189 DING Orlando 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
189 JASPERSON Nolan 100% 92% 55% 16% 2% - -
191 MALLARD Arthur 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
191 WANFORD Leuca 100% 98% 59% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.