The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOKRETSOV Leah - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
2 YANG Hannah - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
3 FURMAN Elizabeth - 4% 20% 39% 30% 8%
3 CHEN Madeline - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
5 CHEN Laila - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
6 RAJPUT Mahek - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
7 QI Chelsie - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
8 LEE Nicole 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
9 HAN Emma 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
10 KIM Abigail - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
11 LEE Zoe 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
12 LI Kayla - 4% 19% 35% 31% 10% 1%
13 DONE Kennedy 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
14 ZHANG Audrey - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
15 TANG Jacquelyn 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
16 FAN Olivia 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
17 WILLIAMSON Aria 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
18 CARACCIOLO Emma 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
19 STEWART Emily 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
20 YOON Michelle 5% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
21 KOTHARI Elina 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% -
22 WANG Katherine 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
23 LI Juliana 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
24 ZHAO Rachel 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
25 AITKENS Charlotte 50% 38% 11% 1% - -
26 ABDALLAH Lily 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
27 MA Shuyin - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
27 LEE Zerah 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
29 CHEN Reina 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
30 SHAVERS Jasmine 11% 34% 36% 16% 2% -
31 MCNAMARA Mia 38% 43% 16% 2% - -
32 YU Yihan < 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.