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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 10:30 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAVAN Arya - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
2 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 MARYASH Samantha - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 TA-ZHOU Emma - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
5 ATTIA Jasmine - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
6 DAMBAL Sasha - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
7 MYAT Chloe 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
8 ZHANG Sophie - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
9 HENRY Soraya S. - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
10 BUSH Bethany - 1% 11% 32% 38% 16%
11 FREEMAN Armine - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
12 SHINCHUK Ellisha - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
13 SHELLEY Scarlett 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
14 MACKAY Katherine 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
15 UEMOTO Lynn 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
16 MAK Kaitlin 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
17 GUVEN Coco - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
18 CHIANG Melissa - 1% 10% 37% 52%
19 NICHOLAS Eva - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
20 NAYAK Esha - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
21 NEUMAN Ella - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
22 IANNUZZI Lucy 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
23 NIU Jessica - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
24 HUANG Doris - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
25 KANDADAI Lara - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
26 SHMULER Fiona 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
27 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. - - 4% 23% 42% 26% 4%
28 LEOU Korina - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
29 LEE Kaitlin 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
30 LEIGH Adalene 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
31 BROWN Aria 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
32 KHOST Maeve 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
33 BAINS Nandini - - 3% 20% 42% 31% 5%
34 HU Anna - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
35 GUGALA Hanna - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
36 KRASOWITZ Lucy 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
37 CROOKS Riley - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7%
38 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
39 REN Katherine 10% 35% 38% 15% 2%
40 AWAD Royce - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
41 LIU Kelly - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
42 PASUPULETI Laya 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
43 BERRIOS Catalina - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
44 LOO Kaitlyn - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
45 CHOI Charlotte 1% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
46 KIM Audrey 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
47 ZHANG Ashley 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
48 MONTORIO Lily M. - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
49 KWON Ava - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
50 GUHA Surabhi - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
51 HANLON Lucy 3% 25% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
52 ONG Lauren 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
53 STADNIK Emilia 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
54 BORGUETA Madison 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
55 WANG JiaQi - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
56 MARGULIAN Maria - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
57 SRINATH Lyra A. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
58 DONG Angel - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
59 XU Elaine 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
60 XU Demi 34% 43% 19% 3% -
61 TIAN Cynthia 4% 22% 42% 28% 5%
62 BAIK Sarah 5% 25% 41% 25% 4%
63 MANSPERGER Gia 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
64 WONG Charlene 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
65 COLE Beatrice 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
66 HO Sophia 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
67 ROBERTSON Szilvia 23% 43% 27% 6% 1% - -
68 CHOU Zoe - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
69 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
70 DESAUTELS Alexandra 10% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
71 VISWANATHAN Nishka 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
72 HUANG Zoe 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
73 SIMMONS Kinley 28% 51% 18% 3% - - -
73 REKHTMAN Alice 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
75 CHURCH Madeline 65% 30% 5% - - - -
76 PALEY Alisa 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
77 LEE Kaelyn 13% 50% 29% 7% 1% -
78 GALLANT Justine 1% 26% 47% 22% 3% - -
79 FIGELMAN Maya 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
80 LAGOON Miriam 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
81 KESSLER Amelia 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
82 GETZONI Mary 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
83 RIFKIN Lielle 39% 41% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.