2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 10:30 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
2 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
5 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
6 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
7 MYAT Chloe 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
8 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
9 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
10 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
11 FREEMAN Armine 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
12 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
13 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
14 MACKAY Katherine 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
15 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
16 MAK Kaitlin 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
17 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
18 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
19 NICHOLAS Eva 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
20 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 5%
21 NEUMAN Ella 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 3%
22 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
23 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
24 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
25 KANDADAI Lara 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
26 SHMULER Fiona 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
27 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
28 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
29 LEE Kaitlin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
30 LEIGH Adalene 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
31 BROWN Aria 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
32 KHOST Maeve 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
33 BAINS Nandini 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 5%
34 HU Anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
35 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
36 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
37 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
38 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
39 REN Katherine 100% 90% 55% 17% 2%
40 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
41 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
42 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
43 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
44 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
45 CHOI Charlotte 100% 99% 83% 47% 14% 1%
46 KIM Audrey 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
47 ZHANG Ashley 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
48 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
49 KWON Ava 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
50 GUHA Surabhi 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
51 HANLON Lucy 100% 97% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
52 ONG Lauren 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
53 STADNIK Emilia 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
54 BORGUETA Madison 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
55 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
56 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
57 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
58 DONG Angel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
59 XU Elaine 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
60 XU Demi 100% 66% 23% 3% -
61 TIAN Cynthia 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
62 BAIK Sarah 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
63 MANSPERGER Gia 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
64 WONG Charlene 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
65 COLE Beatrice 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
66 HO Sophia 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
67 ROBERTSON Szilvia 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
68 CHOU Zoe 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
69 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
70 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 90% 51% 16% 2% -
71 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
72 HUANG Zoe 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
73 SIMMONS Kinley 100% 72% 21% 3% - - -
73 REKHTMAN Alice 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
75 CHURCH Madeline 100% 35% 5% - - - -
76 PALEY Alisa 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
77 LEE Kaelyn 100% 87% 37% 8% 1% -
78 GALLANT Justine 100% 99% 72% 25% 3% - -
79 FIGELMAN Maya 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
80 LAGOON Miriam 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
81 KESSLER Amelia 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
82 GETZONI Mary 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
83 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 61% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.