2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
2 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
3 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
3 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
5 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
6 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
7 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
8 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60% 15%
9 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
10 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 50% 10%
11 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
12 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
13 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
14 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
15 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 21%
16 BOURGUIGNAT James 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
17 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
18 SENANI Arjun 100% 99% 91% 58% 18% 3% < 1%
19 TANG Terry 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
20 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
21 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
22 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
23 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 4%
23 GE Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2%
25 MARTIN Mason 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
26 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
27 SHANNON Jack 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
28 GERRISH William 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
29 HOLLIS Sean 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
30 BLEIL Tyler 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
31 LEE Eugene 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
32 JURMAN Therin 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
33 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 6% -
34 FENG Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
35 MATTOS Luis Felipe 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
36 XIE Jicheng 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
37 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 99% 84% 31% 5% -
38 BAKSHI Aman 100% 99% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
39 TJON Calum 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
39 CHA James 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
41 LI Ayren 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
42 MAGAZU Christopher 100% 87% 42% 6% - - -
43 CHENG Austyn 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
44 PERLMAN Taiyo 100% 98% 67% 23% 4% - -
45 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
46 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
47 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 98% 71% 26% 4% - -
48 MO Ethan 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
49 BARBANEL Joseph 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
50 WANG Ancen 100% 87% 41% 10% 1% - -
51 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
52 NICOLL William 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
53 SABATINO Patrick 100% 89% 46% 6% - - -
54 TAM Kyle 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
55 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
56 DI TELLA Ulises 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
57 CHUN Zachary 100% 61% 15% 2% - - -
58 ZHANG Julian 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
59 QIAN Zekai 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
60 MENDEZ Ren 100% 72% 23% 3% - - -
61 EZPELETA Gaelan 100% 17% 1% - - - -
62 PERKINS Nathaniel 100% 51% 10% - - - -
63 GOODMAN Elliott 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.