MoDuel Open Epee + MoDuel E & Under Epee [Two Events!]

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 10, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Modern Duelists Fencing Academy - Elkton, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 ANAFI Ari 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% < 1%
3 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
3 TATE William Isom 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
5 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
6 SAFKO Jeffrey A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
7 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 12%
8 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 86% 43% 8% - -
9 SNYDER IV William B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
11 SEIKEL Spencer 100% 100% 98% 80% 32% 4%
12 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 20%
13 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
14 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
15 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
16 ASUNCION Arren 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
17 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
18 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 100% 98% 75% 31% 5%
19 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 99% 91% 62% 19% -
20 YI Nathan 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
21 FAKTOR Emily 100% 85% 46% 12% 2% -
22 STAFFORD Neti 100% 79% 34% 6% - -
23 WANG Kobe 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
24 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
25 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 96% 71% 29% 4% -
25 MURPHY Megan 100% 95% 71% 29% 5% -
27 PFEIL Shawn 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
28 ABRAMOV Alexander 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% -
29 SOKALSKI Edwin 100% 59% 15% 1% - -
30 BJERKNESS Riley 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
31 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 70% 23% 3% - -
32 KARASICK Andrew 100% 89% 48% 10% 1% -
33 LIU Sydney 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
34 SIMS Martin L. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
34 HOOVER Natalie 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
36 CHEN Shanshan 100% 47% 8% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.