NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, March 10, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 70%
2 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 28%
3 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 54%
3 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 33%
5 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 17%
6 SONG Troy 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
7 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 24%
8 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
9 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
10 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 21%
11 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
12 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 13%
13 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 99% 93% 60% 17%
14 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42% 8%
15 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 99% 85% 42% 8%
16 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 100% 95% 67% 21% 3% -
17 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36% 5%
18 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
19 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
20 WANG Justin 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
21 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 8%
22 SHA Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
22 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 100% 97% 75% 27% 3%
24 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
25 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 16%
26 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% -
27 JIANG Ryan 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
28 RUSSELL Edward 100% 98% 74% 23% 3% -
29 ARMSTRONG Christopher S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 28%
30 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
31 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
32 CHEN Allen 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
33 YIN Chujun 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
34 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% - -
35 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 99% 89% 53% 13% 1%
36 KELLEY Hayden 100% 89% 44% 9% 1% -
37 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 98% 73% 29% 5% -
38 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
39 WANG Xiangdong 100% 98% 81% 39% 3% -
40 WU Chi Kuan 100% 81% 38% 7% - -
41 SONG Changze 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% -
42 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
43 BAZZANA Beniamino 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
44 KIM Nathan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
45 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 92% 50% 11% 1% -
46 ZHANG Roland 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% -
47 PAGE Duncan 100% 94% 60% 17% 2% -
48 EGHIAN Armen 100% 96% 65% 22% 3% -
49 WHITE Aidan 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
50 FENG Shang 100% 95% 64% 19% 2% -
51 LI Ray 100% 40% 6% - - -
52 LIN Yufei 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
53 PESSIN Nadav 100% 31% 3% - - -
54 SEILS Aether 100% 30% 3% - - -
55 BRUEGGEMANN Max 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
56 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 89% 37% 5% - -
57 THOMPSON Ian 100% 93% 59% 17% 2% - -
58 PAN Anthony 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% - -
59 KOURE Andrew C. 100% 45% 8% 1% - -
59 ZHANG Wei 100% 80% 37% 7% - -
61 KAIN Brad 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% -
62 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.