2019 Falcon Open

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 9:00 AM

USAFA Center Gymnasium - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
2 BLYTH Jourdain L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
3 REES Daniel I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
3 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
5 CHERIS Zachariah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
6 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
7 SMITH Calvin R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
8 ALLGEIER Peter 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
9 MAURER Chip (Charles) P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 31% 6%
10 GASPAROVICH IV George M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
11 ALAIMO Charles 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
12 YUNG Zheng 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
13 KIMATIAN Stephen Z. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
14 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
15 ALLGEIER Axel 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
16 COFFEY Jacob 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
17 BRANDRETH Garret 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
18 ALTMAN Jeff H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
19 LE BIHAN Henri 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
20 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
21 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
22 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
23 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
24 KAJI Ty 100% 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
25 SOLTER Kai 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
26 WALSH Kevin 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
27 TRIFILETTI Lawrence T. 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
28 RICHARDSON Victor 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
28 LUNA MARTINEZ Luis 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
30 ZHOU Jiasheng 100% 95% 65% 22% 4% - -
31 MAYFIELD Aaron 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
32 KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% - -
33 YEE Rex 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
34 KENT IV David 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
35 KIM Eugene 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
36 WALL Peter M. 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
37 EBELL Ivan D. 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
38 EYMAN Hans 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
39 DE JONG Titus 100% 40% 5% - - - -
40 STAFURIK John (Jack) W. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
41 THORESON Gary C. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
42 RODRIGUEZ Eugenio 100% 81% 39% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.