George Mason University Patriot Open 2024

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 1:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YU William 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
2 PECK Quinn 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
3 SELSER Ella 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
5 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
6 METZ Mason 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
7 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
8 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
9 SIN Steve 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
10 WU Geoffrey 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
11 MITCHELL Christopher 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
12 HIGGINS Jackie 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
13 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 88% 48% 15% 2% - -
14 NOSIK Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
15 TOMASI Samantha 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
16 STADTHER Christopher J. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
17 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 5%
18 BURKE Daniel J. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
19 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
20 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
21 HOPSON Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
22 DONOHUE Peter 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
23 RYAN Sean 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
24 PISTONE Leah 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
25 ELPURNOMO Aldrin 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 7%
26 JARVIS Owen 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
27 CROWE Nathan 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 7% 1%
28 WU Lorena 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
29 CHAO Pierre 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
30 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
31 IVATURI Sivakrishna 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
32 MEYERHOLZ Alec 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14% 1%
33 CROWE Talia 100% 93% 67% 34% 10% 2% -
34 CHANDLEE Thomas 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
35 SIN William 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% -
36 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
37 STEFFENSEN Lily 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
38 POOLE Katherine 100% 74% 30% 5% - - -
39 SADY Edward (Ed) L. 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
40 FISHER Edward 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
41 STENSON Alyssa 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
42 BANSAL Aarush 100% 96% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
43 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
44 DIEP Kevin 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
45 PHILIPPON Grace 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
46 SIDOTI Olivia 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
47 KOEHLER Claire 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.