Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RONG Gordon - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
2 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 ZHANG Albert - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
3 PARKE Nathaniel - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
5 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
6 MEHROTRA Neel - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
6 WANG Joey - - - - 1% 17% 82%
8 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
9 FU Nolan - 4% 22% 44% 30%
10 TANG Zheng - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 12%
11 WONG Vansen 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
12 XUE Michael - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
13 WANG Lucas - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
14 GACIOCH Noah - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
15 DAI Steven (Chengwen) - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
16 DENG haoyu - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
17 WANG Jiacheng - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
18 JAO Aaron - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
19 ENG Kyler - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 14%
20 GREENMAN Duke - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
21 TANG Michael - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
21 LIU Zicheng - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
23 VAN JAARSVELD Leo - 3% 17% 37% 34% 10%
24 KIM Julian - 3% 16% 36% 36% 9%
25 WANG Devin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
26 WOOLCOCK Cash 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
27 KIM Evan - 2% 15% 41% 34% 8% 1%
28 MULCAHY Sebastian - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
29 VOO Lucas 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
30 SHOURIE Seth 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
31 MOU Jaydon - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
32 ZENG Oliver 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
33 SU Samuel - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
34 MAZAHERI Theodore 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% < 1%
35 WONG Kyle - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
36 DING Max - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
37 KUANG Cyrus - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
38 ADDLEMAN Joshua - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
39 CHEN Aiden - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 6%
40 YAO Tristan - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
41 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 24% 43% 26% 6% 1%
42 KROTZ Nicolas 48% 39% 11% 2% - -
43 MA Nolan - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
45 SHOURIE Neel 3% 23% 39% 27% 8% 1%
46 WU MiEr 3% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
47 GORDON David 15% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
48 DU Evan - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
49 HUA Nolan 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
50 WU Nathan 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
51 LIU Daniel 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
52 LIU Xuyao 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6% -
53 MA Ciel - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
54 MILLER Xavier 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
55 LIU Aiden 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
56 MOSLEY Wally 1% 10% 32% 37% 18% 3%
57 BACON Corban 29% 45% 21% 4% - -
58 LIU Yihong 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
59 LIN Daniel 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
60 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
61 SAMIMI Sina 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
62 ZHANG Sean - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
63 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
64 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 5% 25% 41% 25% 5%
65 TOUSSAINT Wizard - - 3% 15% 38% 40% 4%
66 SRIKANTH Hariharan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
67 HIGGINS Karl - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
68 LI Stephen - 4% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
69 FERRIERE Theo 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
70 RONG Marcus - 2% 11% 30% 38% 17% 2%
70 NGUYEN Ethan 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
72 KIM Jayden - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
73 SHIH Derek 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
74 GUO Luke 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
75 DENG Destin 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
76 YU Haoyun 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
77 KOU Mason 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
78 MA kevin 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
79 YU Brandon 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
80 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
81 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
82 CHAUDHARY Oliver 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
83 AULAKH Eshaan 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
84 THOMPSON Luca 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
85 WONG Aaron 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
86 LEE Davidson 26% 46% 23% 5% - -
87 AZAMOV Samir 1% 9% 32% 38% 18% 3%
88 TIAN Dylan 30% 46% 20% 4% - -
89 YOON Jonathan 19% 43% 29% 8% 1%
90 JIANG William 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
91 JIANG Jack 25% 45% 24% 6% 1% -
92 YANG Rony 22% 46% 25% 6% 1% - -
93 ZHAO Luke 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
94 LEE Lucas 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
95 HUR Tyson 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
96 TAVERNA Matteo - 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
97 YOON Ian 59% 34% 6% - - - -
98 CHU Clayton 53% 36% 9% 1% - -
99 GUO Jonathan 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
100 JU Shang 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
101 LI Bryan 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
102 HUNG Ludwig 1% 15% 42% 32% 9% 1%
103 PARK Sean 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
104 ZHANG Zhihan 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
105 MORRIS Blake 1% 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
106 KOU Logan 41% 45% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.